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What
are my risks?
What
are the chances of a hurricane destroying my home?
No
one knows. We can only go on past history. Almost no one
expected a hurricane as powerful as Iniki would strike
Hawaii. The best we can guess is hurricanes in the future
will probably hit Hawaii as frequently as they have in
the past. We know that since 1950 five hurricanes or tropical
storms have caused serious damage in Hawaii. Hurricane
Nina in 1957 produced record winds in Honolulu. Hurricane
Dot did a lot of damage on Kauai in 1959. Hurricane Iwa
did extensive damage on Kauai and Oahu in 1982. Hurricane
Estelle produced very high surf on Hawaii and Maui and
floods on Oahu in 1986. Hurricane Iniki did extensive
damage on Kauai and Leeward Oahu in 1992. Since 1950,
seven other tropical storms or hurricanes could have caused
serious damage. These include Hurricane Fernanda in 1993,
Hurricane Emilia in 1994, and Hurricane Daniel in August
2000.
Where
have the most wind-related insurance claims been for Maui
County?

The
data for this map was compiled from various insurance
firms' homeowner policy claims from 1989 to 1999. This
is intended to serve only for a general hazard indicator
map and is not meant as a policy document.
Source:
Hawaii Hurricane Relief Fund
What
are the potential losses from future hurricanes on Maui?
If
a Category 1 storm as strong as Hurricane Iwa, with winds
gusting at 74 mph, strikes any of the islands in the state,
we can guess from past experience that about 12% of the
houses and apartments could be destroyed or heavily damaged
and about 18% would probably experience minor damages.
If a Category 3 storm strikes any island with the same
force as Iniki, with winds raging at 130 mph, we can guess
that about 38% of the homes will be heavily damaged or
destroyed. An additional 40% will probably have minor
damages.
The
following information was extrapolated from Kauai Damage
in 1982 and 1992. ($ billion in 1992)
| |
Oahu
|
Maui
|
Hawaii
|
Kauai |
| Iwa-Strength
Storm |
$4.5-7.5
|
$0.8-1.4
|
$0.8-1.4
|
$0.3-0.6
|
| Iniki-Strength
Storm |
$13.9-23.3
|
$2.7-4.5
|
$2.6-4.4
|
$1.1-1.9 |
Source:
Hawaii Coastal Hazard Mitigation Planning Project, Office
of Planning, December 1993
Where
have strong winds been measured on Maui?
Click to enlarge
Strong
trade winds have hammered north and east shores with winds
of 40-60 mph (e.g., December 1993, March 1985, and December
1982).
There
can be a slight acceleration of the trade winds as they
blow between West Maui and Haleakala, so that wind speeds
at Maalaea and north Kihei may be higher than along the
North Shore.
Damaging
Kona winds have reached velocities of 50 mph for several
days (e.g., December 1996 and 1988). These winds typically
impact the south-facing shorelines, but are also potential
threats to the north shore as the winds accelerate down
the north slopes of Haleakala.
Some
of the strongest wind events on Maui have been associated
with passing hurricanes, like Hurricane Nina in November
1957, which brought gusts greater than 90 mph to parts
of Maui, and tropical storms like Daniel in July 1982
which caused damage along Maui's east coast.
Source:
Fletcher, Charles, Eric Grossman, Bruce Richmond. Atlas
of Natural Hazards in the Hawaiian Coastal Zone. |